The referendum vote is being reported as 45% for, 55% against. But that misses a point. Although that is the result bearing in mind the number who submitted a valid vote, it does *not* accurately reflect the proportion of people who wanted independence.
The question asked was \”Should Scotland be an independent country?\” this was not a choice between 2 people. It solicited support for the proposal to become independent. The only response that can demonstrate support for this was a Yes vote.
So, it can be correctly inferred that anyone who failed to vote yes did not support the proposition enough to vote for it. Apathy, contempt for politics, whatever the reason, it doesn\’t matter. If you did not vote Yes, then you did not express a desire for Independence.
So, if one takes into account those who were registered rather than those who voted, then we get a different set of numbers, with considerable significance.
Below is a table showing what the result would be given those assumptions. Interestingly not one area voted by a majority of eligible voters for yes, and the overall percentage in favour of Independence is only 37.81% – barely more than 1 third, rather than the nearly half being touted.
Factor in the voter registration of 97% (or so I read earlier this week, but haven\’t been able to confirm yet), the actually support for Independence was, in fact, 36.73%.
I think this is important to bear in mind in the coming weeks and months…
Numbers have taken from Wikipedia, and some rounding errors (given turnout was only shown to 2dp rather than absolute numbers. Click on the table to expand.
NB, if it get more accurate numbers I will update the table, but it won\’t change that much.